Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com Analyzes Maine Gay Marriage Polls

Here are the results of the four recent -- and somewhat contradictory -- polls on Maine's Question 1, which seeks to overturn the state legislature's decision to provide for same-sex marriage in the state. Pick your poison. The Democracy Corps poll is of registered voters (bad); the other three are of likely voters (good, usually). The PPP poll has the largest sample (good), and the Pan Atlantic Poll has the smallest sample (bad). The PPP poll is the most recent (good) -- although the poll showing the worst result for gay marriage, from Research 2000, is the least recent. Pan Atlantic is a Maine-based pollster (good); the other three are national pollsters (bad). The PPP poll is an automated poll -- which Tom Jensen thinks might be preferable in this instance -- whereas the other three use traditional telephone methods. Full Story from FiveThirtyEight.com: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/10/turnout-is-maine-issue.html

Planning to marry your partner? Click here for gay marriage resources in Maine.

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