New Report on Gay Marriage Fights in Maine, California

Should the November 2009 result in Maine – a 53/47 victory by the forces seeking to overturn marriage equality – have come as a surprise? After all, No on 1 raised much more money than Yes on 1 did. They out- organized their opponents. They ran a positive, upbeat campaign. And still the result, just like California last year: a loss. This report will examine the reasons behind the Maine loss. Then it will undertake demographic analysis of the results from Maine, California (Proposition 8) and Washington State (Referendum 71) to assess whether there were consistent demographic factors in play. Next, based on the results of the demographic analysis, a simple model will be suggested to estimate probability on a state-by-state basis of marriage equality being adopted at the ballot box. Finally, a going-forward strategy for marriage equality advocates will be proposed. Full Story from Virtual Galt: http://www.virtualgalt.com/mainpages/marriage%20equality%20lessons%20learned.pdf

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